Arrogate: Unbridled's Song's Best Son?

             

EquiSport Photos (Matt and Wendy Wooley)

            It is still early to tell whether Arrogate will continue to stun racing fans with performances like the ones he gave in the G1 Travers and the Breeders' Cup Classic, but many still consider him the best son of the late Unbridled's Song despite the fact that those two wins are his only runs in graded stakes. The smashing grey colt earned such honors and recognition in those classic starts by the way he won them: he won the Travers by 13 1/2 lengths, beating the track record against the best three year olds in the country, and in the Breeders' cup he won against older horses for the first time which included the richest horse in America, California Chrome, giving him his first defeat after six wins which include the Dubai World Cup (G1) and the TVG Pacific Classic (G1).

              Breeders, always being on the lookout for stallion prospects, are already trying to analyze whether or not Arrogate will be able to pass on his running ability, stamina and enormous stride to his offspring. The fact is, Unbridled's Song has not sired a son who has been able to duplicate or even get somewhat close to his success at stud. Could Arrogate still be a good sire? the answer is yes, There are numerous cases in which a great horse was only well represesnted by one great son. A P Indy is Seattle Slew's only son to make his mark as a sire, and now the Seattle Slew - A P Indy line is one of the best in the country and the world. Let's look at another very good and very recent example of a similar situation with Indian Charlie. Indian Charlie didn't produce a good sire-son until Uncle Mo, who has already established himself as one of the best stallions in the Country despite having only two crops of racing age.

              The female line of a horse is also key in determining his success as a stallion. A P Indy's dam was the G1 winner Weekend Surprise who also produced Summer Squall. Arrogate is the first foal out of Bubbler, a stakes winning daughter of Distorted Humor, who himself is a great broodmare sire. Arrogate's second dam, Grechelle (Deputy Minister), is a multiple stakes producer and his third dam is none other than champion filly, Meadow Star.

Z Theory:

            My theory is that Arrogate could be a good broodmare sire whether or not he succeeds as a sire. I have noticed that sons of some great broodmare sires have also made their mark through their own daughters. there are three extremely notable North American broodmare sires who currently have daughters that are still producing great runners: Storm Cat, Deputy Minister and of course Unbridled's Song. Storm Cat's son, Forestry is a moderate sire, but has been the damsire of some exceptional runners including this year's Kentucky Derby winner, Nyquist. Even American Pharoah's damsire is Storm Cat's lesser known son, Yankee Gentleman. Deputy Minister has a couple of son's that were average sires that went on to be good broodmare sires, such as French Deputy and Silver Deputy. Deputy Minister's son Dehere is the sire of 2014 Broodmare of the Year, Take Charge Lady. Take Charge Lady's daughters have been following in their dam's footsteps and her daughter Charming is responsible for producing champion two year old filly, Take Charge Brandi. The younger of the trio is Unbridled's Song himself whose sons still have time before they will be represented through their own daughters. 

              

           Unbridled's Song still has opportunities to create a powerful sire line, even if not through arrogate. His son, Will Take charge, who is out of previously mentioned Take Charge Lady, was a champion on the track with weanlings and yearlings having sold well and his first two year old runners will emmerge next year. Graydar is also due to have his first runners next year, but chances are better that their offspring will do better as three year olds considering the fact that most of Unbridled's Song's offspring matured relatively late. 

           In time we will see if Arrogate's quick turn of foot and tremendous drive will pass on to his progeny. For the time being, we can look forward to his next start which is likely to be in the 12 million dollar Pegasus World Cup at the end of January where he will take on California Chrome again. 

Please feel free to comment and share your opinion.